In a January 2025 interview, Ian Bremmer discusses critical geopolitical risks for the year, comparing it to historical tensions of the 1930s and Cold War era. Key issues include Trump’s potential resurgence, deteriorating US-China relations, a rogue Russian presence, and AI development concerns, alongside some hopeful developments amidst these challenges.
In 2025, the world appears promising with diplomatic progress in major conflicts and economic expansion amid a growing population. However, significant challenges persist, particularly the lack of global governance and cooperation. The United States and China prioritize self-interests, leaving global issues unresolved, threatening sustainability and deepening societal divides.
On December 30, 2024, El Universal aired concerns about potential armed uprisings in Mexico amid fears of U.S. intervention. A document attributed to AMLO revealed an alarming hardline perspective among Morena leaders, emphasizing anti-violence rhetoric while indicating potential insurrection against perceived threats from foreign military involvement and the U.S.
The Trump administration is expected to shift towards less government regulation, increased domestic production, and protectionist policies, impacting immigration and taxes. Proposed tariffs on imports and drastic changes in foreign policy, including a focus on ending conflicts, signal significant transformations. Economic indicators show mixed performance, with potential implications for both the U.S. and Mexico.
Carl Sagan, a key figure in popularizing astronomy and understanding the cosmos, influenced humanity significantly through his works, including “Cosmos”. He warned about ecological issues and promoted peaceful communication in space. The world’s population trends highlight linguistic diversity, urbanization, and demographic challenges, emphasizing sustainability as a critical future concern.
On December 2, the President dismissed a New York Times article suggesting the Sinaloa cartel recruits chemistry students for fentanyl production. Subsequent reports revealed the cartel’s operations, revealing a disturbing increase in fentanyl use, especially in border areas. The President’s nonchalant stance contrasts sharply with the escalating crisis, highlighting a dangerous denial of reality.
In 2025, Mexico transitions to an authoritarian political regime under Morena, characterized by crushed opposition and a market economy dependent on foreign and drug-trafficking capital. The justice system shifts towards unofficial preventive detention, promoting social control. This new system prioritizes economic elites while sidelining genuine democratic processes, diminishing public accountability.
President López Obrador’s legacy includes significant complicity with drug trafficking, leading to widespread violence and corruption in Mexico. His approach has resulted in a low-intensity civil war characterized by terrorism. The increase in advanced warfare tactics among drug traffickers threatens stability and U.S.-Mexico relations, reflecting a troubling national decline.
Luis Rubio reflects on significant readings of the year, highlighting works that delve into political thought and historical transitions. Key books discussed include analyses of Xi Jinping’s leadership, the rise of populism, the challenges of criminality, and the experiences of U.S. presidents after leaving office, addressing critical themes of democracy and governance.
