Arrogance, Short-Sightedness and its Consequences

The end of Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s presidency marks significant changes in Mexican politics. His era is characterized by strong personal control, political degradation, and a focus on electoral success over economic development. As his successor takes over, Mexico faces institutional weaknesses, societal dependency on direct cash transfers, and political uncertainties.

New Dawn or the Same Dusk

Claudia Sheinbaum is set to become the first female president of Mexico, continuing President López Obrador’s policies, including the daily “mañaneras.” Her administration faces challenges such as handling the CUSMA/USMCA/TMEC trade agreement, the nation’s security and cartel issues, and maintaining strategic economic relations with the United States and Canada.

Wartime Jurisdiction and Militarization

Ricardo Pascoe Pierce discusses the implications of incorporating the National Guard into the National Army, highlighting the War Jurisdiction’s protection of military personnel from civil authority. The article examines cases like Ayotzinapa, stressing the political and legal tensions between civilian and military justice, and warns against increasing militarization in Mexico.

A Walled-in Government Bids Farewell

Ricardo Pascoe Pierce critiques AMLO’s government for its contradictory nature, marked by physical and political walls that symbolize both strength and weakness. He highlights the regime’s failure to engage with opposition and international allies, while imposing control over domestic institutions. Pascoe warns of the potential autocratic future under Sheinbaum’s administration.

Even Worse Than Peña Nieto

Luis Rubio discusses the paradoxical similarities between the presidencies of Peña Nieto and AMLO. Both leaders, rooted in outdated political eras, failed to effectively engage with the contemporary Mexican citizenry, resulting in ineffective policies and political turmoil. While Peña attempted ambitious reforms technically, AMLO sought radical changes without concern for permanence, ultimately creating future challenges.

6 Years of Government, What Does the Data Say?

The document provides controls for navigation and zooming, and offers further reading on various economic and geopolitical topics, including Mexico’s future scenarios, reports on democracy, leadership, the IMF, USMCA, wealth reports, gold outlook, economic implications of AI, de-dollarisation, post-electoral analysis, and mid-year economic outlooks.

It’s in Sight

The post critiques the political landscape in Mexico under President López Obrador, highlighting issues of nepotism, economic uncertainty, and increased violence. It questions the legitimacy of newly appointed officials, critiques Pemex’s financial instability, and notes contradictions between government declarations and realities on the ground. Public opinion on Sheinbaum is also discussed.

How Much Does The Party Cost?

The judiciary reform in Mexico, enacted on Independence Day, triggers significant legal, economic, and social upheavals. Delays in the justice system and the risk of overpopulated prisons challenge human rights. Economic impacts include capital flight and investment uncertainties. Electing judges by popular vote raises concerns about judicial impartiality and independence.

Mexico has been Downgraded in the Global Scene.

The publication of a sparse guest list at Claudia Sheinbaum’s inauguration reveals Mexico’s declining international esteem due to controversial foreign policies under AMLO. The country’s ambiguous stance, leaning towards nations like Russia and Cuba, contrasts sharply with traditionally democratic allies, reflecting a deeper isolation and distrust from global powers.

The Poisoned Apple

Ricardo Pascoe Pierce describes the “poisoned apple” of crises AMLO is leaving for incoming President Sheinbaum. These include violence, organized crime, judiciary dismemberment, economic issues, and strained U.S. relations. Furthermore, AMLO’s proposed militaristic measures and enduring influence reflect a regime intent on repressing political dissidents and evading corruption investigations.